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典型文献
High-resolution Projection Dataset of Agroclimatic Indicators over Central Asia
文献摘要:
To understand the potential impacts of projected climate change on the vulnerable agriculture in Central Asia(CA),six agroclimatic indicators are calculated based on the 9-km-resolution dynamical downscaled results of three different global climate models from Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5),and their changes in the near-term future(2031-50)are assessed relative to the reference period(1986-2005).The quantile mapping(QM)method is applied to correct the model data before calculating the indicators.Results show the QM method largely reduces the biases in all the indicators.Growing season length(GSL,day),summer days(SU,day),warm spell duration index(WSDI,day),and tropical nights(TR,day)are projected to significantly increase over CA,and frost days(FD,day)are projected to decrease.However,changes in biologically effective degree days(BEDD,℃)are spatially heterogeneous.The high-resolution projection dataset of agroclimatic indicators over CA can serve as a scientific basis for assessing the future risks to local agriculture from climate change and will be beneficial in planning adaption and mitigation actions for food security in this region.
文献关键词:
作者姓名:
Yuan QIU;Jinming FENG;Zhongwei YAN;Jun WANG
作者机构:
Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia(RCE-TEA),Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China
引用格式:
[1]Yuan QIU;Jinming FENG;Zhongwei YAN;Jun WANG-.High-resolution Projection Dataset of Agroclimatic Indicators over Central Asia)[J].大气科学进展(英文版),2022(10):1734-1745
A类:
Agroclimatic,agroclimatic,BEDD
B类:
High,resolution,Projection,Dataset,Indicators,over,Central,Asia,To,understand,potential,impacts,projected,climate,vulnerable,agriculture,CA,six,indicators,are,calculated,dynamical,downscaled,results,three,different,global,models,from,Phase,Coupled,Model,Intercomparison,CMIP5,their,changes,near,term,future,assessed,relative,reference,period,quantile,mapping,QM,method,applied,correct,before,calculating,Results,show,largely,reduces,biases,Growing,season,length,GSL,summer,days,SU,warm,spell,duration,WSDI,tropical,nights,TR,significantly,increase,frost,FD,decrease,However,biologically,effective,degree,spatially,heterogeneous,high,projection,dataset,serve,scientific,basis,assessing,risks,local,will,beneficial,planning,adaption,mitigation,actions,food,security,this,region
AB值:
0.613481
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